THE NUMBERS
Obama continues to have the mo. Huckabee tops out at last week's 20%.
The GOP race has widened, even as the DEM race has narrowed. McCain and Ron Paul both showing some late-day strength.
THE STRATEGIES
The crosses (parley contracts) continue to look attractive, in particular if Obama goes all the way. The past week alone would would have profited 48% for an Obama-Giuliani contract (before a sizeable 10% paid for the wide bid-ask)!
| Next President | Pr (%) | Chg Wk. | bid-ask |
|---|
| CLINTON(H) | 38.2 | -1.9 | 2% | | GIULIANI | 15.5 | -2.4 | 5% | | OBAMA | 18.1 | 2 | 1% | | HUCKABEE | 6.1 | -2.1 | 7% | | ROMNEY | 7.8 | 0.8 | 19% | | McCAIN | 3.1 | 0.4 | 13% | | PAUL | 4.6 | 2 | 4% |
| 2007 Week 50: Clinton campaign gets blowback from comments about Obama; last of the "debates" for GOP and Dems.  |
| GOP Nominee | Pr (%) | Chg Wk. | bid-ask |
|---|
| GIULIANI | 35.6 | -3.9 | 0% | | ROMNEY | 22.6 | 3.7 | 10% | | HUCKABEE | 16.5 | -3.3 | 4% | | MCCAIN | 9.8 | 1.6 | 2% | | PAUL | 8.5 | 3.5 | 1% | | THOMPSON(F) | 4.5 | -0.6 | 9% | | RICE | 0.2 | -0.9 | n.m. |
| | DEM Nominee | Pr (%) | Chg Wk. | bid-ask |
|---|
| CLINTON | 58.6 | -3.6 | 1% | | OBAMA | 33.1 | 4.1 | 0% | | GORE | 2.6 | 0.2 | 8% | | EDWARDS | 4.8 | -0.1 | 2% | | RICHRDSN | 0.3 | 0 | n.m. | | BIDEN | 0.2 | -0.1 | n.m. | | DODD | 0 | -0.1 | n.m. |
|
| Senate | Pr (%) | Chg Wk. | bid-ask |
|---|
| DEM | 81.1 | 0.1 | 11% | | GOP | 10 | -0.1 | 1% |
| |
| DEM VP Nominee | Pr (%) | Chg Wk. | bid-ask |
|---|
| OBAMA | 11.7 | 0.6 | 34% | | BAYH | 15.5 | -2.4 | 19% | | FIELD | 12.6 | 0.4 | 13% | | RICHARDSON | 11.6 | -0.9 | 28% | | GORE | 12.1 | 1.5 | 23% | | CLARK | 14.1 | 2.1 | 7% | | WEBB | 5.3 | 0.1 | 13% |
| | DEM VP Nominee | Pr (%) | Chg Wk. | bid-ask |
|---|
| FIELD | 23.8 | -1.4 | 67% | | HUCKABEE | 28.1 | -0.2 | 6% | | PAWLENTY | 6.4 | 0 | 117% | | THOMPSON(F) | 5.3 | 0.1 | 87% | | GIULIANI | 2.6 | 2.3 | 96% | | GINGRICH | 5.1 | 0 | 55% | | BUSH(J) | 5.1 | 0.1 | 27% |
|
| President Parley | Pr (%) | Chg Wk. | bid-ask |
|---|
| CLINTON-GIULIAN | 31 | -2.2 | 2% | | CLINTON-ROMNEY | 13.1 | 0.1 | 15% | | OBAMA-GIULIANI | 14.8 | 4.8 | 8% | | CLINTON-HUCK | 10 | 0.9 | 34% | | OBAMA-HUCKABEE | 8 | 0 | 30% | | OBAMA-ROMNEY | 7.1 | 1.6 | 61% | | CLINTON-McCAIN | 5 | 1 | 60% | | OBAMA-McCAIN | 2 | 0 | 65% |
|
: this is just an informational note and not a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell securities and there is no guarantee implied and people can lose all money on all investments. Numbers are believed to be correct, but do your own math and make your own conclusions or consult with an advisor before making any decisions.
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