Just the Numbers: Week 24

THE NUMBERS

McCain hits new contract lows, as Thompson candidacy seems to benefit the most from his slide. Gore continues to be well bid, for both President and VP.

Edwards seems to get no 'bounce' from his debate performance.

THE STRATEGIES

I'm still having a hard time believing in the sure-footedness of the Thompson campaign.

Next President Pr (%) Chg Wk. bid-ask CLINTON(H) 32.4 -1.6 0% OBAMA 16.7 0 8% THOMPSON(F) 16 1.2 1% GIULIANI 12.7 1.3 6% ROMNEY 9.5 -0.8 5% GORE 6.7 -1.1 22% McCAIN 5.6 -0.9 2%	2007 Week 24: Weekly newscycle was largley dominated by Congressional-WH politics; Libby sentencing turns into quasi-farce; Mass. legislature fails to push for ban on gay marriage via Constitutional amendment; mud-slinging yet to begin in earnest.
GOP Nominee Pr (%) Chg Wk. bid-ask THOMPSON(F) 30.4 1.4 3% GIULIANI 28.1 3.4 5% ROMNEY 20.1 -1.8 1% MCCAIN 9.1 -3.1 4% GINGRICH 1.9 0.2 n.m. HUCKABEE 1.2 0.1 n.m. PAUL 1.5 0.2 n.m.	DEM Nominee Pr (%) Chg Wk. bid-ask CLINTON 49.2 -0.4 0% OBAMA 27.2 -2.4 9% GORE 11.3 0.8 1% EDWARDS 5.3 -0.8 2% RICHRDSN 1.8 -0.2 n.m. BIDEN 0.5 0 n.m. CLARK 0.5 0 n.m.
Senate Pr (%) Chg Wk. bid-ask DEM 77 -3 11% GOP 14.5 1.5 59%	Next Executive Pr (%) Chg Wk. bid-ask DEM 55 -0.2 1% GOP 41.1 -0.4 1% OTH 3.5 0.3 3%
DEM VP Nominee Pr (%) Chg Wk. bid-ask OBAMA 29 -4.1 10% RICHARDSON 19.5 3.3 54% GORE 13.7 7.7 19% CLARK 7.6 -0.1 104% BAYH 4.5 4.4 56% EDWARDS 4.5 4.4 78% WEBB 3.7 0 197%

src: intrade.com; bid-ask are not points, but spread as a percentage of the bid. Polls comparison, via ealClearPolitics.
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: this is just an informational note and not a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell securities and there is no guarantee implied and people can lose all money on all investments. Numbers are believed to be correct, but do your own math and make your own conclusions or consult with an advisor before making any decisions.

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