That seems way too high, but I'll post this as a marker of the steps in the AIG collapse.
From David Paul:
In simple terms, AIG's collapse came as a result of the following sequence of events:
- 1. In the wake of the decline in real estate prices, the market value of mortgage-backed securities declined.
- 2. Under accounting rules that were established after the downfall of Enron -- implemented to require rapid disclosure of investment losses -- AIG marked down the value of its mortgage-backed securities portfolio.
- 3. These investment losses resulted in a reduction of AIG's capital reserves -- the core measure of its financial strength.
- 4. As a result of the decline in AIG's capital reserves, Standard & Poor's and Moody's Investors Service downgraded AIG from triple-A to the single-A level.
- 5. These rating downgrades to the single-A level triggered collateralization requirements under AIG's CDS contracts.
- 6. The amount of the collateral that AIG had to produce under its estimated $450 billion of CDS contracts approximated $100 billion.
And AIG did not have $100 billion in available funds.
Other accounts suggest that "the mortgage portfolio" really was a collection of CDS written on mortgage-related securities.
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