Sunday, September 30, 2007

Electoral College in Dead Heat

NEW FEATURE

The 'prediction markets' are showing the electoral college in a dead heat. 268 of 270 needed are leaning toward Democrats.

Volume in the New Mexico contracts is running higher than other states.

StateDEMREPChng Wk. Dem/RepBid-Ask. Dem/RepElec. Vote
D.C.97.52.50/0n.m.3
Massachusetts93.56.50/06%/n.m.12
New York9280/0n.m./50%31
Rhode Island9280/0n.m./38%4
Maryland88.511.50/08%/61%10
Hawaii8750/0n.m./298%4
California85120/0n.m./25%55
Connecticut85150/0n.m.7
Illinois84.815.20/0n.m./35%21
Delaware84160/0n.m.3
Vermont8313.50/0n.m./26%3
New Jersey80.117.50/012%/14%15
Pennsylvania80160/06%/56%21
Michigan79.520.50/0n.m.17
Oregon75200/013%/50%7
Washington7522.50/0n.m.11
Minnesota73.526.50/0n.m./6%10
New Hampshire72.5180/03%/n.m.4
Maine7125.10/05%/31%4
Wisconsin70200/029%/n.m.10
Missouri5440.10/0n.m./75%11
New Mexico5139.50/0n.m.5
Ohio5033.50/020%/109%20
Florida4155.50/022%/14%27
Colorado40.257.70/0n.m.9
Iowa40.1500/0n.m.7
Nevada4040.10/050%/50%5
West Virginia35650/0n.m.5
Arkansas29500/072%/n.m.6
Indiana25.574.50/018%/n.m.11
Virginia25.5710/0n.m.13
Arizona20700/0100%/n.m.10
Tennessee20500/0150%/66%11
Louisiana19.5700/054%/n.m.9
Kansas18600/061%/n.m.6
North Carolina1781.50/0135%/10%15
South Dakota15850/0n.m.3
Mississippi10900/0n.m.6
Alaska10900/0n.m.3
Montana10900/0n.m.3
North Dakota10900/0n.m.3
Kentucky1074.50/0n.m./21%8
Texas10900/0n.m.34
Oklahoma10900/0n.m./5%7
Nebraska8920/038%/n.m.5
Idaho7930/0n.m.4
Utah5.592.30/0n.m.5
Wyoming592.50/0n.m.3
Alabama2.1940/0n.m.9
South Carolina2900/0n.m.8
Georgia2840/0n.m.15

*Change from prior week is "0" as prior week's data has not been collected.

src: intrade.com; bid-ask are not points but the spread expressed as a percentage of the bid value; values may only be indicative, when % bid-ask is large or volume slight.

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