THE NUMBERS
Fred Thompson drops. Gore suprisingly strong.
THE STRATEGIES
Nothing new this week. Old strategies remain unchanged.
Next President | Pr (%) | Chg Wk. | bid-ask |
---|
CLINTON(H) | 24 | -0.7 | 13% | OBAMA | 19.5 | -0.5 | 13% | GIULIANI | 16 | 0.2 | 6% | McCAIN | 12 | -0.7 | 15% | ROMNEY | 7.8 | 0.8 | 8% | GORE | 7.8 | 0 | 1% | EDWARDS | 4 | 0 | 63% |
| 2007 Week 15: F. Thompson discloses cancer; McCain gives much talked about Iraq speech; Newt debates Kerry on climate; Bill Richardson on mission to North Korea. |
GOP Nominee | Pr (%) | Chg Wk. | bid-ask |
---|
GIULIANI | 33 | 3.9 | 2% | MCCAIN | 19.2 | 1.3 | 1% | ROMNEY | 17.7 | 1.2 | 1% | THOMPSON(F) | 15.6 | -4.4 | 6% | HAGEL | 3 | 0.6 | 17% | GINGRICH | 3 | -0.9 | 13% | HUCKABEE | 1.9 | 0.2 | n.m. |
| DEM Nominee | Pr (%) | Chg Wk. | bid-ask |
---|
CLINTON | 48.1 | 0.1 | 0% | OBAMA | 29.5 | -2.5 | 1% | GORE | 9.3 | 0.9 | 4% | EDWARDS | 8.2 | 1 | 1% | RICHRDSN | 3.4 | -0.2 | 3% | CLARK | 0.5 | 0 | n.m. | BIDEN | 0.3 | -0.3 | n.m. |
|
Senate | Pr (%) | Chg Wk. | bid-ask |
---|
DEM | 78 | 1 | 4% | GOP | 15 | -3 | 33% |
| Next Executive | Pr (%) | Chg Wk. | bid-ask |
---|
DEM | 56.5 | 0 | 1% | GOP | 42.8 | -0.2 | 0% | OTH | 0.2 | 0.1 | n.m. |
|
src: intrade.com; bid-ask are not points, but spread as a percentage of the bid. Polls comparison, via ealClearPolitics.IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: this is just an informational note and not a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell securities and there is no guarantee implied and people can lose all money on all investments. Numbers are believed to be correct, but do your own math and make your own conclusions or consult with an advisor before making any decisions.
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