THE NUMBERS
The Dem race tightens. The GOP race widens. The betting suggest no odds-on favorite in a Clinton-McCain match-up.
THE STRATEGIES
Huckabee VP contract looks kinda low. If he cleans up in the South, as expected, he'd be a prime candidate for a ticket. I think he'd want the job, too.
| Next President | Pr (%) | Chg Wk. | bid-ask |
|---|
| CLINTON(H) | 36 | -9 | 1% | | McCAIN | 35.9 | 17.9 | 0% | | OBAMA | 22.4 | 6.9 | 2% | | ROMNEY | 3.3 | -8.1 | 9% | | PAUL | 0.7 | -0.3 | n.m. | | GORE | 0.6 | -0.2 | n.m. | | BLOOMBERG | 0.6 | -1.7 | n.m. |
| 2008 Week 5: Dems Debate in California; Florida Primary; GOP/Dems debate @ Reagan library.  |
| GOP Nominee | Pr (%) | Chg Wk. | bid-ask |
|---|
| MCCAIN | 87.4 | 37.8 | 0% | | ROMNEY | 7.7 | -26.8 | 5% | | GIULIANI | 1 | -8.2 | n.m. | | HUCKABEE | 1 | -2 | n.m. | | PAUL | 1.6 | -0.1 | n.m. | | RICE | 0.3 | -0.1 | n.m. | | GINGRICH | 0.2 | -0.2 | n.m. |
| | DEM Nominee | Pr (%) | Chg Wk. | bid-ask |
|---|
| CLINTON | 61.1 | -5.6 | 1% | | OBAMA | 38 | 6.3 | 3% | | GORE | 0.9 | 0 | n.m. | | EDWARDS | 0.2 | -0.5 | n.m. | | RICHRDSN | 0 | -0.1 | n.m. | | BIDEN | 0 | 0 | n.m. | | DODD | 0 | 0 | n.m. |
|
| Senate | Pr (%) | Chg Wk. | bid-ask |
|---|
| DEM | 86.2 | -1.8 | 9% | | GOP | 8 | 2.9 | 23% |
| | Next Executive | Pr (%) | Chg Wk. | bid-ask |
|---|
| DEM | 61.1 | 0 | 1% | | GOP | 38.6 | 3.4 | 1% | | OTH | 1.2 | -1.5 | n.m. |
|
| DEM VP Nominee | Pr (%) | Chg Wk. | bid-ask |
|---|
| OBAMA | 21.1 | 1 | 2% | | BAYH | 10 | -1 | 20% | | FIELD | 21 | 1 | 15% | | RICHARDSON | 6 | -4.6 | 70% | | GORE | 11.1 | -1.3 | 5% | | CLARK | 10.7 | 3.1 | 50% | | WEBB | 3.7 | 2 | 30% |
| | DEM VP Nominee | Pr (%) | Chg Wk. | bid-ask |
|---|
| FIELD | 35 | 4.7 | 1% | | HUCKABEE | 21.1 | -1.6 | 27% | | PAWLENTY | 19 | 9.5 | 4% | | THOMPSON(F) | 5.5 | -5.4 | 42% | | GIULIANI | 6.3 | 0.3 | 103% | | GINGRICH | 0.2 | -1.6 | n.m. | | BUSH(J) | 0.1 | -0.1 | n.m. |
|
| President Parley | Pr (%) | Chg Wk. | bid-ask |
|---|
| CLINTON-McCAIN | 56.1 | 18.8 | 5% | | OBAMA-McCAIN | 27.5 | 13.3 | 16% | | CLINTON-GIULIAN | 0.5 | -3.5 | n.m. | | OBAMA-GIULIANI | 0.2 | -2.9 | n.m. | | CLINTON-HUCK | 0.1 | -0.1 | n.m. | | OBAMA-HUCKABEE | 0.2 | -0.1 | n.m. | | CLINTON-ROMNEY | 3 | -18 | 130% | | OBAMA-ROMNEY | 2 | -7 | 140% |
|
: this is just an informational note and not a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell securities and there is no guarantee implied and people can lose all money on all investments. Numbers are believed to be correct, but do your own math and make your own conclusions or consult with an advisor before making any decisions.
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